What if - The EUISS Foresight Podcast
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What if - The EUISS Foresight Podcast
The EUISS' ‘What if’ podcast is a foreign policy foresight conversation: it looks at fictional scenarios discussing questions like: under what circumstances could this come about? What would it mean? Can we prevent it, or how would we have to respond to it? And lastly: how likely is it?
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Show me the numbers: how are economic forecasts made?
In this episode, Florence Gaub learns from Laura Bardone how the European Commission conducts economic forecasts and discovers that it does not involv...
From tech to Star Trek: doing foresight in the European Defence Agency
In this episode, Florence Gaub and Daniel Fiott talk foresight to Jean-Francois Ripoche from the European Defence Agency: how is it used, how is it us...
Star Trek, Unicorns and looking at the future: a conversation with Maroš Šefčovič
In this special edition of our What if podcast, the EU’s first-ever commissioner for strategic foresight Maroš Šefčovič explains to Florence Gaub what...
What is strategic foresight?
In this last episode of our mini-series on strategy, Security and Defence editor Daniel Fiott and Florence Gaub discuss strategy and strategic foresig...
What is the Strategic Compass?
In the second episode of our mini-series on strategy, Florence Gaub has two guests: the pen-holder of the Strategic Compass, Jean-Pierre van Aubel, an...
What is strategy?
In this first episode of our mini-series on strategy, EUISS director Gustav Lindstrom explains to Florence Gaub what strategy actually is (and what it...
Why… did we expect democracy in the Arab world?
In this episode, Florence Gaub is the guest on her own show and explains to Giovanni Faleg why expectations of a rapid democratisation in the Arab wor...
Why… did we not see the rise of China coming?
In this episode, Alice Ekman explains to Florence Gaub why people commonly thought that China was going to become a democracy, or alternatively implod...
Why… did we underestimate Russia’s ambitions?
In this new mini-series we look at past expectations that turned out to be untrue and try to learn from past mistakes. In our first episode, Stanislav...
What if...Russia expands its influence in Belarus?
In this last episode of the Russia miniseries, Florence Gaub discusses with Andrew Wilson (ECFR) the future trajectory of a Belarus very much under th...
What if...Russia becomes 'the Singapore of steel'?
In this episode, Janis Kluge (SWP) takes Florence Gaub to a future where Russia has reformed its economy with spectacular success. What would have to...
What if...Russian society drifts apart?
In this episode, Sinikukka Saari and Stanislav Secrieru explain to Florence Gaub why there is a danger that Russia may become divided into four Russia...
What if…China rode the techno-ticket to power?
While technology might be just the sum of science and industry, for China it is a pillar of its geopolitical ambition. In this last episode of our min...
What if…China wants to be a superpower?
As China gains more and more influence on the global stage, the big question is what it intends to achieve with this new status. In this second episod...
What if…China’s diplomacy is more predictable than we think?
China not only has a vision for a different world order, it also has a vision for deploying different diplomatic practices. In this first episode of o...
What if...Covid-19 impacted the US presidential elections?
The pandemic has hit the United States harder than any other country; and Americans are scheduled to go to the polls in November. Will the coronavirus...
What if...Africa was immune to Covid-19?
Projections show a possible death toll of more than 3 million for Africa, but what if these calculations turn out to be wrong? EUISS Senior Analyst Gi...
What if...Covid-19 leads to an escalation of conflicts?
Currently, 43 states in the world are experiencing ongoing conflicts. What impact will the Covid-19 pandemic have on these conflicts? Will they escala...
What if...Putin mismanages Covid-19?
Russia initially seemed to be doing better than other states when it came to the pandemic, but it has since emerged that the truth is far from what th...
What if...Covid-19 leads to a decline in remittances to Georgia, Ukraine & Moldova?
In this episode, EUISS senior analyst Stanislav Secrieru discusses with Florence Gaub what economic impact Covid-19 will have on three Eastern neighbo...
What if...China uses the coronavirus crisis to promote its world vision?
In this episode, EUISS senior analyst Alice Ekman discusses with Florence Gaub how China has not just survived the pandemic crisis but is in fact thri...
What if...the internet didn't exist during a pandemic?
In this episode, EUISS associate analyst Nathalie van Raemdonck discusses a counterfactual 'What if ...?' scenario with Florence Gaub: a COVID-19 pand...
What if…China and Russia partner up in cyberspace?
In this episode, Russia and China join forces to enforce their approach to the internet – with far-reaching geopolitical consequences that go well bey...
What if…Russia clashes with Ukraine in the Sea of Azov?
In this episode, things come to a head in the Sea of Azov: Russia seizes two fishing vessels, killing one of the captains, and triggers a wave of demo...
What if…Warren/Trump/Biden became president in 2021 - and what each means for the Middle East
In this episode, Simona Soare and Florence Gaub examine three different scenarios that could be in store for us come January 2021: what would it mean...
What if...Russia and Europe clashed in Africa?
In this episode, things turn violent for an EU electoral observer mission in Gambola. Five of its staff are killed in an ambush, with evidence that a...
What if…another civil war became international?
In this episode, civil war breaks out in the fictional country of Tcherba. The government suspends mediation talks with the Uralanskian Freedom Front...
What if… there was another American civil war?
In this episode, the United States are in their 8th week of violence across the country, involving urban and rural areas, left and right, citizens and...